Ethnic Differentials in Effects of First Marriage and Marital Fertility on Below-Replacement Fertility in Singapore, 1980–2015: A Multistate Lifetable Analysis

Keita Suga

This study examines the patterns and demographic factors underlying the fertility changes by major ethnic group in Singapore for 1980-2015, with focusing on the differential role of the 1st marriage by ethnic group. In order to derive the 1st marriage effects on annual changes in a period fertility measure during 1980-2015 in Singapore, we need to overcome the fact that the necessary data are not available in most of years during the period. We develop a numerical model to construct multistate lifetables each year for 1980-2015. Results show ethnic differentials and similarities in the 1st marriage and marital fertility effects.

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 Presented in Session 10. Fertility, Family Planning, Sexual Behavior & Reproductive Health 2