Decomposing the Mortality Decline in the Philippines, 1960–2010, Using Arriaga’s Method

Klarriness Tanalgo , University of the Philippines Diliman - Population Institute
Grace Cruz, University of the Philippines

Between 1960 and 2010, male life expectancy in the Philippines increased from 57.5 to 66.8 years and from 59.0 to 72.8 years for females. Using Arriaga’s decomposition method, estimates of temporary life expectancy from birth to age 65 show an increase for both males and females during the analysis period. Findings suggest that the younger age groups, particularly the infants and those children under five contributed the most to this increase in 65e0 for both sexes in the past 50 years. These population sectors gained the most over time and have almost reached the maximum possible number of years to live by 2010. Those in the older age groups 5 to 65, particularly those ages 15 and over, have a lot more years to gain before attaining the maximum possible years to live. This is partly due to some fluctuations in the mortality estimate for this older cohorts.

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 Presented in Session 11. Health & Mortality 2