Which Nationalities Have Been Coming the United States Less Since the 2016 Election?

Jacob Thomas

In this paper, we assess how much arrivals by foreign arrivals from different countries to the U.S. have changed through the 45th Presidential election, executive order to ban all travelers from 7 countries and drastically cut refugee admissions, and the Supreme Court’s first decision to uphold that ban. With data about I-94s collected from passengers of all US in-bound flights between November 2015 and August 2016, we find that although the ban aimed to reduce the number of entries by foreigners from seven small Muslim countries, the decline in entries were much greater among foreigners from Latin America and Europe, and specifically former allies to the US government like Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom and Germany. This paper contributes to the literature that shows broader social impact of migration policies and how they can damage the reputation and therefore desirability of a country as a tourist and migration destination.

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 Presented in Session 5. Immigration Policy