A large literature has shown that climate change is likely to have negative effects on agricultural production in tropical countries. However the trickle-down consequences of these changes for population well-being remain unclear. To address this issue, we examine how recent climate anomalies have affected food security, household expenditures, agricultural production and child health in Uganda. We draw on longitudinal household survey data collected by the World Bank, gridded climate data from the University of East Anglia, and multivariate approaches that account for the non-random occurrence of climate anomalies over time and space. Preliminary results indicate that exposure to prolonged heat reduces food security, expenditures and agricultural yields, suggesting that climate change will reduce population well-being.
Presented in Session 106. Empirical Assessments of Linked Human-Ecological Adaptive Responses to Climate Change